A Region in Turmoil: Threats to Gulf Energy and Shipping
Rather than offering a comprehensive, encyclopedic threat analysis, this Insight aims to pinpoint the most immediate threats to the security of Gulf energy and international shipping and the likelihood that they could become a reality. It constitutes a first attempt at looking at the likely scenarios that so far have been given inadequate attention.
Last Updated (Sunday, 18 November 2012 14:50)
As Afghanistan braces for reduced foreign aid as part of the NATO drawdown over the next two years, some government and aid officials - current and former - view an expected drop in international support as a blessing in disguise despite the likely negative impact on the local economy.
As popular uprisings and post-revolt transitions change the political, economic and social structures of the Middle East, Kurds, the world’s largest nation without a state of their own, are emerging as the force that could spark a redrawing of borders and rewriting of minority rights in West Asia.
The status of India and Pakistan as
declared nuclear powers with growing
nuclear arsenals has raised the risks of
a nuclear exchange between them, if the two
countries engage in a large military conflict.
The political leadership in both countries
does not seem to have fully grasped the
implications of nuclear weapons in relation to
the ongoing conflict in Jammu and Kashmir.
This conflict could lead to a limited war, as
it has triggered three wars in the past.
Last Updated (Friday, 27 April 2012 13:12)
When we consider the nature of wars in South Asia, which includes China’s border
with South Asian nations, at the outset, two important facts need to be noted.
Geopolitically, armed conflicts and wars around the world are gradually moving
down the paradigm scale of intensity and inclusivity. People do not talk of nuclear war; only of
nuclear deterrence or disarmament. Even the probability of regular high intensity conventional
conflicts has got reduced.
Last Updated (Friday, 27 April 2012 13:17)
China wird in Asien zur geopolitischen Gegenmacht der USA. Auch das Verhältnis zwischen China und
Indien ist nicht konfliktfrei. Beide Rivalen konkurrieren um Ressourcen und geostrategischen Einfluss am
Indischen Ozean. Dort bestimmen brisante politische Krisen Eurasiens Peripherie.
In a sign of improved security in Somalia, African Union (AU) troops will return Mogadishu Stadium, the most abused sports facility in a region with a history of battered stadiums, to the Somali Football Federation (SFF).